1. Australia worst among G20 on climate action
Climate Transparency have prepared a report Green to Brown: Assessing the G20 transition to a low-carbon economy ahead of the 2016 G20 meeting in China last weekend. There is a handy summary at The Climate Council.
The countries’ 2030 emissions reduction targets (otherwise known as its INDCs) were about half ‘inadequate’ and half ‘medium’. The categories ‘sufficient’ and ‘role model’ were nowhere to be found. Australia was ranked ‘inadequate’.
Worse, when countries were rated according to seven key indicators, we were the only country rated either “very poor’ or ‘poor’ in every category. Plain motherless last:
There were no ‘very good’ scores at all, but:
- Climate Transparency further commented on Australia’s INDC: “if all governments showed similar low ambition, global average warming would likely exceed 3-4°C.“
There’s more at The Guardian.
2. 1.5°C is virtually impossible
After the Paris Agreement last December the United Nations Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) the “invited” the IPCC to do a special report on limiting global temperature rise to “well below 2°C” and to “pursue efforts towards 1.5°C”. Recently in Geneva a meeting was held to scope the report and throw in a few ideas, according to Carbon Brief.
The joke is that the report is due for delivery in September 2018, which will be “in time for” the UNFCCC’s “facilitative dialogue” scheduled that year. That will be too late to stop 1.5°C warming, however.
So the report will be about feasibility, overshoot and sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere. And about the implications of not doing so.
Carbon Brief have prepared this helpful table:
Seems as though the Great Barrier Reef will be cactus, whichever way we go.
3. Tamed Climate Change Authority gives the Government space
The third and final part of the Climate Change Authority’s special review was published recently as Towards a climate policy toolkit: Special Review of Australia’s climate goals and policies. It was meant to tell the Government what it needs to do to meet its obligations under the Paris Agreement negotiated last December. Two of the members, David Karoly and Clive Hamilton, wrote a minority report.
In simple terms, the report allows the Government to retain the status quo in terms of targets, and recommends two carbon trading schemes. The minority report says we should adopt a ‘carbon budget’ approach, and if we do then 90% of the budget will be used up with a 28% 2030 target, necessitating emissions to drop like a stone at that point to achieve zero in 2035.
The report allows the Government to continue doing nothing much about climate change. The Government will review the review and develop its post-2030 strategy in 2017.
You can download the report and associated documents here. Perhaps start with the media release, then the media release of the minority report, then Christine Milne’s sad reflection Climate Change Authority cops out – just when we need it most.
If you want more, there’s:
- Clive Hamilton and David Karoly The Climate Change Authority report: a dissenting view
- Michael Slezak Australia needs two emissions trading schemes, Climate Change Authority says
- Michael Slezak Climate Change Authority splits over ETS report commissioned by Coalition
- Lenore Taylor Climate authority split is no surprise – Australia has fought the same battle for 10 years
- Giles Parkinson Tamed CCA gives Coalition breathing space, but no path to Paris targets
- Paul Karp Josh Frydenberg plays down Climate Change Authority call for tougher emissions limits
- The Climate Institute Initial response to CCA Report: Useful but neglects key fundamentals
- Michael Hopkin Climate Change Authority suggests emissions trading but no new climate targets
- Lethal Heating Climate Change Authority Special Review: Minority Report
- SBS Climate scientists lash ‘untrue and dangerous’ report
- Graham Readfearn ‘We’re not going anywhere,’ say Climate Change Authority dissenters
In other words it has been suggested that the CCA dissenters resign. They won’t.
Josh Frydenberg, if you want to listen to him on ABC RN The World Today (they don’t do transcripts any more) thinks the main report is just fine. He stresses our progress in per capita terms, but in those terms we are still champion emitters and should make a special effort.
3. Turnbull appoints climate denier as chair of the backbench environment and energy committee
Liam McLoughlin has an article at New Matilda Malcolm’s Sensible Centre: Corporatisation, Concentration Camps And Climate Catastrophe which would be hilarious if it were not so serious. On climate:
- Speaking of sensitive, ethical, prudent, and responsible action, the government is surely at its most sensible when campaigning to radically destabilise the earth’s climate systems.
Don’t sweat those soaring temperatures; I’m pretty sure Turnbull’s main man, climate denier Craig Kelly, has it covered in his new role as chair of the backbench environment and energy committee.
He finishes the article:
- The Prime Minister says “meet us in the sensible centre”.
It’s a reasonable request, except for that fact that the “sensible centre” is morally repugnant, thoroughly corrupt, and utterly insane.
Let’s sensibly, rationally, reasonably, prudently, soberly, and thoughtfully, tell Malcolm to get stuffed.
4. Time is running out
I feel I should drop in here an image from the Carbon Brief piece above:
That is, at current rates the carbon budget for a 66% chance of the world staying below 1.5°C warming will run out in 5.2 years.
The US and China have formally joined the Paris climate pact, which is something, but well short of a 1.5°C outcome.
5. The future of coffee
After all that bad news, you might need a cup of coffee.
Enjoy it while you can. It’s a $19 billion industry world-wide with 2.25 billion cups of coffee consumed every day. A new report suggests that production could be cut by half by 2050 because of climate change.
I’ll try to look for better news in the next edition of CC!