The title is courtesy of Laurie Oakes’s column. I’ll come back to that.
Actually there is an argument for going to sleep for the next month because they say that people really only start to take interest in the last two weeks. I might get some climate blogging done!
On the polls, Kevin Bonham has it 50.2 to the LNP including the Galaxy May 8 poll, with seats 79 to the Coalition, 67 to Labor, and 4 Others. That leaves Turnbull probably one or two short for passing stuff in a double dissolution joint-house sitting.
For the Galaxy poll I can only find Samantha Maiden’s article in Newscorp papers. It has Turnbull fighting for his political life at 50-50 2PP. There are 22%, however, who want someone other than the two major contestants, split exactly between Greens and “other” at 11% each.
Obviously too close to call.
Only 48% of respondents knew that Scott Morrison was Treasurer, and only 18% knew about Chris Bowen. Nine out of ten recognise Swannie, but only one out of 10 recognise Terri Butler who replaced Kevin Rudd as the member for Griffith, although she’s frequently interviewed by the ABC.
It makes you realise that people have lives to lead and those lives are not spent attending to politics.
Bernard Keane reckons the “class war” thing is being beaten up by the LNP, The Australian and the Australian Financial Review. Here’s what Galaxy found:
- a majority of voters, 62 per cent, believe it is unfair only workers earning more than $80,000 a year received a tax cut in the Budget.
Two-thirds of voters earning less than $80,000 believe the Budget is unfair. Surprisingly, 49 per cent of voters earning over $80,000 agree that it isn’t fair to lower income households.
Do you know that Labor is going to vote for the tax cut for those on $80K plus?
But Turnbull and ScoMo made sure that we all thought they were being unfair by their silly stunt to withhold the full tax cut costings. Here’s what Laurie Oakes said:
- Turnbull, who is a Rhodes Scholar, apparently didn’t see the questions coming and therefore failed to get himself briefed on the detail. That is one explanation, anyway.
Another is that he didn’t want voters to know the extent of the Government’s generosity to companies in a Budget light on benefits for anyone else.
If that was the case, he overlooked the inevitability that slip-sliding on the issue would call attention to the fact that he was hiding something.
The third possibility — the one the Government now claims to be the truth — is that Turnbull and Treasurer Scott Morrison decided to withhold the information temporarily in a too-smart-by-half trick intended to embarrass Labor.
The headline writer called it “playing silly buggers with the truth”. In any case, it was an own goal.
Possibly we’ll all forget about it by election time, but it is making the Government look mean and tricky, and that may endure.