The latest Newspoll, according to Twitter, so it must be right, was Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 38 (-1) ALP 37 (0) GRN 9 (0) UAP 4 (0) ON 3 (-1). Seriously, Kevin Bonham said on Twitter, that with those numbers, Labor would be unlucky to lose. The Newspoll site has Labor in front 51.5-48.5.
Bludger Track has Labor gaining 11 since 2016 to land on 80, with the LNP on 65 and Others on 6.
The suggestion is that the LNP’s primary vote of 38 going into the election is the lowest ever on Newspoll.
I think we should wait for the count.
2. Lethal Heating on climate
Lethal Heating has been blogging up a storm on the election recently. It republishes material published elsewhere, but adds a series of related links at the end. Here are some recent ones:
- 62 Experts Urge Next Parliament to Make Climate Action a Top Priority – Australia Institute
- Climate Change Election: Where Do Parties Stand And What Can We Expect After Saturday? – RenewEconomy
Both interesting, but neither mentions Labor’s revival of the Climate Change Authority and the Australian Climate Audit it will be tasked to undertake. I found that item the most exciting part of the policy.
This post Climate Change Is This Election’s Top Issue. Guardian Australia Tells You What You Need To Know contains a couple of dozen links to articles published in The Guardian.
It includes Katharine Murphy’s Buying international permits is a cheap way to cut emissions. It’s that simple. I’m still scratching my head as to why the Greens went hard on that one (see Labor’s climate action plan 2019 – a “dog’s breakfast?”
3. Budget matters
I still need to do a post on the budget, no matter who wins. Just now I’ll link to Explainer: is the Coalition planning $40bn of secret spending cuts?.
That’s about a Grattan Institute study which found that by 2030 the LNP budget would see $40 billion cut off existing expenditure programs every year.
Grattan has also done a piece saying the Labor’s Early Childhood Education policy would add $25 billion pa to GDP. How? By expanding our workforce, same as immigration does. I’ll post the link when I find it.